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Taoyuan Nights

Gazing into the future.

Someone once said, history never repeats, but it does rhyme.

Here is what happened in Tokyo and Hong Kong when their property prices zoomed in the way that Taipei’s have. I believe that in ‘house-price-relative-to-earnings’ terms, Taipei has recently exceeded the heights of these graphs.

So, dear reader, I show you a possible - indeed, likely - future.

Click on the pictures to view them fullsize. These pictures are mirrored from reinet’s site.


Japanese House Price Graph (Reinet)






Hong Kong House Price Graph (CCI)



If you look at the high point on those graphs… well, that’s where I think we are now. And if you look at the low point…. well, that’s where I think we shall swiftly go: 70-80% falls in property prices, and most of it too fast for anyone to hope to escape.

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